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VC Intelligence Report

Android Studio 2.0 Preview

Developer Tools — Significant new improvements to Google's IDE for Android dev [Linux, Windows, Mac]
Developer Toolsopen-sourceest. 2015
● Stable
Category standing real
46th pctl · Developer Tools
21.4
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#4,172
Category rank
of 7,723 · real
52th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
37%
Mortality P(dead)
model est. · model est.

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 8.9 → 21.0 across 38 readings (+12.1). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
52
Signal (category) real
46
Profile maturity real
52
Tag breadth real
77
Network position sparse
0
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

model estimate
37%
P(inactive)
Moderate risk
Higher risk than 39% of the universe.

This is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Android Studio 2.0 Preview sits in the 52th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #4,172 of 7,723 in Developer Tools. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 37% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It has no curated competitive-alternative edges yet, so the comparable set below is functional tag-similarity — read it with the confidence flags. Signal momentum is roughly flat.

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
Draculadev-toolssimilar22.90%
KTRZ Monokaidev-toolssimilar32.913%
Android Studio 1.0dev-toolssimilar18.692%
Android Studio 2.0dev-toolssimilar21.473%
VS Code (Notion) themedev-toolssimilar32.966%
Atom Beautifydev-toolssimilar15.732%
Electric Purple VS Code Themedev-toolssimilar30.066%
GitLab Workflowdev-toolssimilar25.731%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelopen-source
Liveness tierunknown
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

real

1 disclosed funding round on record. See the full cap table on the product profile →