Market Thesis · generated Aug 27, 2026
The liveness census shows Developer Tools as the healthiest category, with 62.6% of its 8,145 probed products responding alive.
Meanwhile, the revival of Brief, a news product, underscores that even categories facing shutdowns can quickly regain service.
Grounded in the live census, observed transitions & press · 93,235 products
FEDFUNDSFed Funds Rate3.63%
DGS1010Y Treasury4.64%
T10Y2YYield Curve 10Y–2Y+0.47%
UNRATEUnemployment4.1%
CPIAUCSLCPI YoY3.5%
UMCSENTConsumer Sentiment49.5
as of 2026-08-26 · source: FRED · Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
LIVENESS CENSUS · BY CATEGORY
What fraction of each category is still answering HTTP?
Every value is an observed probe result — not a model. Hard-dead is HTTP-verified (404 / 5xx / parked); unverified (timeout / DNS / bot-block) is never counted as death.
Alive
47,578
52% of probed
Hard dead
12,593
14% of probed
Redirected
7,196
8% of probed
Unverified
23,367
26% of probed
AliveHard deadRedirectedUnverified
CategoryAlive / dead / redirect / unverified
Productivity55%13%12,237 / 12,604Entertainment
44%21%11,373 / 11,654Dev Tools
63%8%8,145 / 8,435Education
54%14%6,833 / 6,928Marketing
52%12%5,530 / 5,653Hardware
44%11%5,230 / 5,378Design
54%12%5,107 / 5,239E-Commerce
47%12%5,077 / 5,210AI Tools
60%10%4,633 / 4,931Finance
48%13%3,310 / 3,385Communication
45%14%3,220 / 3,357Gaming
39%41%3,271 / 3,347Health
44%20%2,916 / 2,972Other
48%14%1,938 / 1,998Analytics
53%9%1,533 / 1,574Travel
46%15%1,288 / 1,308Security
53%12%942 / 986Design Tools
73%4%766 / 766Services
59%10%552 / 564Artificial Intelligence
69%8%492 / 492Saas
70%6%422 / 422Android
74%5%415 / 415Dev Tools
65%5%334 / 334Chrome Extensions
70%6%271 / 271Open Source
78%4%264 / 264Social Media
67%5%262 / 262Health Fitness
68%8%240 / 240Api 1
70%6%239 / 239Fintech
71%5%230 / 230Hiring
63%4%221 / 221Sales
67%7%208 / 208Email
67%7%184 / 184Web App
65%6%164 / 164User Experience
70%5%159 / 159Ios
78%3%153 / 153Writing
62%6%144 / 144Software Engineering
67%4%140 / 140Mac
83%2%119 / 119Music
68%4%104 / 104Messaging
63%5%99 / 99Customer Success
67%7%85 / 85Browser Extensions
78%1%73 / 73Social
0%0%0 / 60Investing
63%8%59 / 59Customer Communication
54%11%57 / 57Task Management
69%4%55 / 55Website Builder
69%10%52 / 52News
57%4%51 / 51Newsletters
69%4%51 / 51Art
58%8%48 / 48Events
79%0%43 / 43Seo
65%9%43 / 43Funny
50%10%42 / 42Slack
57%7%42 / 42Social Network
49%8%39 / 39Payments
62%11%37 / 37Crypto
60%3%35 / 35Email Marketing
56%6%34 / 34Languages
53%3%34 / 34Media
0%0%0 / 33Photography
53%13%30 / 30Privacy
83%7%30 / 30Twitter
64%7%28 / 28Freelance
59%15%27 / 27Global Nomad
67%4%27 / 27Branding
63%0%24 / 24Fashion
54%8%24 / 24Tech
67%0%24 / 24Video Streaming
50%8%24 / 24Kids
70%5%20 / 20Notes
70%10%20 / 20Ebook Reader
53%11%19 / 19Meetings
74%0%19 / 19Movies
74%5%19 / 19Free Games
61%11%18 / 18E-Commerce
100%0%15 / 17Robots
71%0%17 / 17Venture Capital
71%0%17 / 17Legal
75%0%16 / 16Parenting
56%6%16 / 16Web3
50%0%16 / 16Advertising
67%0%15 / 15Emoji
73%0%15 / 15Spreadsheets
80%7%15 / 15Data Analytics
79%7%14 / 14Dating
92%0%13 / 13Home
77%0%13 / 13Storage
92%8%13 / 13A B Testing
58%17%12 / 12Web
0%0%0 / 12Cars
45%9%11 / 11Cooking
64%9%11 / 11Instagram
73%9%11 / 11Maps
73%9%11 / 11Windows
82%0%11 / 11Growth Hacking
80%10%10 / 10Indie Games
50%0%10 / 10Wordpress
60%10%10 / 10Calendar
89%11%9 / 9Meditation
67%11%9 / 9No Code
56%0%9 / 9Pets
56%11%9 / 9Politics
67%11%9 / 9Prototyping
78%11%9 / 9Puzzle Games
100%0%9 / 9Sports
67%11%9 / 9Apple Watch
75%0%8 / 8Dogs
88%0%8 / 8Money
50%13%8 / 8Remote Work
88%0%8 / 8Telegram
75%0%8 / 8Wearables
88%0%8 / 8Amazon
71%14%7 / 7Audio
57%14%7 / 7Charity Giving
57%0%7 / 7Internet Of Things
57%0%7 / 7Maker Tools
71%0%7 / 7Text Editors
57%0%7 / 7Ipad
67%17%6 / 6Mobile
0%0%0 / 6Notion
67%17%6 / 6Public Relations
67%17%6 / 6Startup Books
50%0%6 / 6Weather
83%0%6 / 6Business
60%20%5 / 5Coffee
60%0%5 / 5Games
40%0%5 / 5Github
80%0%5 / 5Icons
80%20%5 / 5Product Hunt
40%0%5 / 5Social Impact
60%0%5 / 5Space
60%0%5 / 5Strategy Games
80%20%5 / 5Streaming Services
60%0%5 / 5Time Tracking
80%20%5 / 5Virtual Reality
80%0%5 / 5Books
100%0%4 / 4Bots
75%25%4 / 4Climate Tech
25%0%4 / 4Cookbooks
75%0%4 / 4Graphics Design
50%0%4 / 4Lifestyle
25%25%4 / 4Linux
75%0%4 / 4Medical
75%0%4 / 4Photo Video
75%0%4 / 4Rpgs
100%0%4 / 4Shopping
25%25%4 / 4Side Project
50%0%4 / 4Sneakers Shoes
75%0%4 / 4Social Networking
50%0%4 / 4Youtube
75%0%4 / 43d Printer
67%33%3 / 3Alarms
100%0%3 / 3Anonymous
0%67%3 / 3Augmented Reality
67%0%3 / 3Board Games
67%0%3 / 3Card Games
67%0%3 / 3Cats
67%0%3 / 3Community
67%0%3 / 3Design Books
100%0%3 / 3Development
33%0%3 / 3Marketing Automation
100%0%3 / 3Moving Storage
100%0%3 / 3Platformers
100%0%3 / 3Spotify
33%0%3 / 3Action Games
50%0%2 / 2Apple
100%0%2 / 2Beauty
100%0%2 / 2Comics Graphic Novels
100%0%2 / 2Couples
50%0%2 / 2Custom Keyboards
100%0%2 / 2Drawing
100%0%2 / 2Drinking
0%50%2 / 2Drones
100%0%2 / 2Funny Games
100%0%2 / 2Graphic Design
100%0%2 / 2Interior Design
50%0%2 / 2Kids Parenting
100%0%2 / 2Menu Bar Apps
100%0%2 / 2Open World Games
50%0%2 / 2Pc
100%0%2 / 2Personal Finance
100%0%2 / 2Photoshop
50%0%2 / 2Pokemon
100%0%2 / 2Quantified Self
50%0%2 / 2Ridesharing
0%0%2 / 2Safari Extensions
100%0%2 / 2Simulation Games
100%0%2 / 2Startup Lessons
50%0%2 / 2Tv
50%0%2 / 2Typography
100%0%2 / 2Virtual Assistants
50%50%2 / 2Web Design
50%50%2 / 2Adult Coloring Books
100%0%1 / 1Adventure Games
0%0%1 / 1Biohacking
100%0%1 / 1Celebrities
0%0%1 / 1Crafting
100%0%1 / 1Crowdfunding
100%0%1 / 1Cryptocurrency
100%0%1 / 1Dapp
100%0%1 / 1Data
0%0%1 / 1Delivery
100%0%1 / 1Digital Art
0%0%1 / 1Family
100%0%1 / 1Fighting Games
100%0%1 / 1Football
100%0%1 / 1Graphics
100%0%1 / 1History Books
100%0%1 / 1Htc Vive
100%0%1 / 1Human Resources
100%0%1 / 1Influencer Marketing
100%0%1 / 1Jewelry
100%0%1 / 1Logo Design
0%0%1 / 1Memes
100%0%1 / 1Nature Outdoors
100%0%1 / 1Nintendo
100%0%1 / 1On Demand
100%0%1 / 1Online Learning
100%0%1 / 1Password Manager
100%0%1 / 1Retro Games
100%0%1 / 1Social Media Marketing
100%0%1 / 1Transportation
100%0%1 / 1Vibe Coding
100%0%1 / 1Video
100%0%1 / 1Wine
0%0%1 / 1Xbox
100%0%1 / 1
as of 2026-08-28 · source: v_category_census · mv_latest_probe (HTTP probes) · 90,734 probed of 93,235 products · last sweep 2026-08-26
Fed Funds vs Product Deaths · Annual
Rate environment alongside tracked product deaths
Fed Funds annual avg (FRED FEDFUNDS series). Product deaths are a small tracked sample — n=272 products with documented discontinuation years. Illustrative only; no causal or lead-lag claim. Current rate: 3.63% (as of 2026-07-01).
OBSERVED MOVERS · LATEST FLIPS
Sites we watched change state between sweeps.
11 revived · 9 died in this window. Each is a confirmed HTTP status flip, not a forecast.
Aug 26
I am Coming
REVIVEDAug 26Eventsdead_5xx → alive
Brief
REVIVEDAug 26Newsdead_5xx → alive
Penify
REVIVEDAug 26Productivitydead_5xx → alive
OneSubmitAI
REVIVEDAug 26Marketingdead_404 → alive
Sniff - Opportunity Search Engine
DIEDAug 26Freelancealive → dead_404
EarlyFinder
DIEDAug 26Fintechalive → dead_5xx
Your Domain Bot
REVIVEDAug 26Alarmsdead_5xx → alive
Benjamin
DIEDAug 26Anonymousalive → dead_5xx
Silo Team
DIEDAug 26Saasalive → dead_404
JustRef
REVIVEDAug 26Sportsdead_5xx → alive
Audo
DIEDAug 26Educationalive → dead_5xx
Lapala
REVIVEDAug 26Productivitydead_404 → alive
Linkbird
DIEDAug 26Salesalive → dead_5xx
Rangeen
REVIVEDAug 26Design Toolsparked → alive
Creatium
DIEDAug 26Productivityalive → dead_404
Safes
DIEDAug 26Androidalive → dead_5xx
Schej
REVIVEDAug 26Productivitydead_5xx → alive
EpicBlackFriday
REVIVEDAug 26Designparked → alive
Learn jQuery with Live Code Editors
REVIVEDAug 26Educationdead_5xx → alive
Growth Hacking
DIEDEducationalive → dead_404
as of 2026-08-28 · source: v_observed_transitions · liveness_probes · 20 most-recent flips (current state)