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VC Intelligence Report

Channel.io

Communication — Channel
Communicationsaas
▲ Rising
Category standing real
71th pctl · Communication
30.0
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#441
Category rank
of 3,277 · real
68th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
0%
Mortality P(dead)
model est. · model est.

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 13.216.8 across 152 readings (+3.6). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
68
Signal (category) real
71
Profile maturity real
67
Tag breadth real
95
Network position sparse
99
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

model estimate
0%
P(inactive)
Low risk
Higher risk than 1% of the universe.

This is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Channel.io sits in the 68th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #441 of 3,277 in Communication. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 0% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It sits on the competitive-alternatives graph with 3 linked rivals, so the comparable set below leans on curated edges. Signal momentum is positive (WoW +27.1).

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
Zendeskcommunicationcurated15.71%
Freshchatcommunicationcurated25.70%
Intercomcommunicationcurated22.90%
Kastro 2.0communicationsimilar30.00%
iVentasmarketingtag-overlap25.734%
MyAlice for Shopifycommunicationsimilar30.04%
Feebi | Restaurant Chatbotai-toolstag-overlap32.949%
Podcastleai-toolstag-overlap41.668%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelsaas
Liveness tierquiet
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

not in source

No disclosed funding in our sources. Funding data covers only ~1% of the corpus (462 rounds across 79K products), so absence here is unknown, not zero— we don't estimate a number we can't source.