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VC Intelligence Report

Chatfuel

AI Tools — Create chatbots to engage with your audience on messengers [Android, iOS, Web App]
AI Toolssaasest. 2016
▲ Rising
Category standing real
25th pctl · AI Tools
18.6
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#2,653
Category rank
of 3,814 · real
46th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
1%
Mortality P(dead)
verified label · real

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 7.511.1 across 25 readings (+3.6). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
46
Signal (category) real
25
Profile maturity real
46
Tag breadth real
98
Network position sparse
100
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

verified label
1%
P(inactive)
Low risk
Higher risk than 2% of the universe.

This product carries a verified outcome label (“surviving”) — it is one of 600 hand-labeled cases the model is trained and tested on.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Chatfuel sits in the 46th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #2,653 of 3,814 in AI Tools. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 1% — a verified outcome label. It sits on the competitive-alternatives graph with 6 linked rivals, so the comparable set below leans on curated edges. Signal momentum is positive (WoW +47.6).

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
Sessionizeproductivitytag-overlap32.943%
ShortStackmarketingtag-overlap15.76%
SmartGuidetraveltag-overlap30.035%
ExpoSim - Hybrid Events Appmarketingtag-overlap30.017%
Eventbrite Organizerproductivitytag-overlap22.985%
Help Scout Beaconcommunicationtag-overlap15.794%
Convertixodev-toolstag-overlap32.92%
Weebly 4ecommercetag-overlap18.643%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelsaas
Liveness tierquiet
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

not in source

No disclosed funding in our sources. Funding data covers only ~1% of the corpus (462 rounds across 79K products), so absence here is unknown, not zero— we don't estimate a number we can't source.