Deli&Co.

Hardware — Deli&Co

Hardwarehardware

● Stable

Category standing real

99th pctl · Hardware

37.1

Signal score

0–100 composite · real

#15

Category rank

of 5,243 · real

99th

Universe percentile

vs 79,105 modeled · real

54%

Mortality P(dead)

model est. · model est.

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 20.4 → 21.6 across 175 readings (+1.3). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products

Signal (universe) real

Signal (category) real

Profile maturity real

Tag breadth real

Network position sparse

Press footprint sparse

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

model estimate

54%

P(inactive)

Elevated risk

Higher risk than 49% of the universe.

This is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.

LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Deli&Co. sits in the 99th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #15 of 5,243 in Hardware. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 54% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It has no curated competitive-alternative edges yet, so the comparable set below is functional tag-similarity — read it with the confidence flags. Signal momentum is roughly flat.

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity

Company	Basis	Signal	P(dead)
MailChimp Playing Cardsother	tag-overlap	15.7	14%
Eggmazinghardware	similar	22.9	62%
Woodlands: Dinosaur Landother	tag-overlap	15.7	14%
Bru-Bag Party Pack!entertainment	tag-overlap	22.9	35%
Stranger Things LEGO Setentertainment	tag-overlap	30.0	15%
Mellow Boardshardware	similar	22.9	86%
Chamrrahardware	similar	30.0	66%
Pro Magnetic Project Mathardware	similar	15.7	48%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes

Business modelhardware

Liveness tierfading

Open sourceNo

Public APINo

Free tierNo

Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

real

1 disclosed funding round on record. See the full cap table on the product profile →