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VC Intelligence Report

Github Pages

Developer Tools — Every Github repo has a secret free website
Developer Toolssaasest. 2014
● Stable
Category standing real
100th pctl · Developer Tools
59.3
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#36
Category rank
of 7,723 · real
100th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
5%
Mortality P(dead)
model est. · model est.

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 12.5 → 35.2 across 35 readings (+22.7). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
100
Signal (category) real
100
Profile maturity real
67
Tag breadth real
77
Network position sparse
100
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

model estimate
5%
P(inactive)
Low risk
Higher risk than 12% of the universe.

This is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Github Pages sits in the 100th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #36 of 7,723 in Developer Tools. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 5% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It sits on the competitive-alternatives graph with 8 linked rivals, so the comparable set below leans on curated edges. Signal momentum is roughly flat.

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
Neocitiesdev-toolscurated15.72%
Netlifydev-toolscurated18.61%
Coolifydev-toolscurated32.90%
Bl.ocksdev-toolssimilar22.918%
30 seconds of C#dev-toolssimilar47.116%
24 Pull Requestsdev-toolssimilar25.76%
Gitfoliodev-toolssimilar15.784%
Toodlesdev-toolssimilar32.911%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelsaas
Liveness tierquiet
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

real

4 disclosed funding rounds on record, 6 founders resolved. See the full cap table on the product profile →