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VC Intelligence Report

Parler

Entertainment — A social media platform designed around free speech principles with minimal content restrictions…
Entertainment
▲ Rising
Category standing real
95th pctl · Entertainment
32.9
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#75
Category rank
of 11,555 · real
87th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
48%
Mortality P(dead)
model est. · model est.

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 14.620.6 across 154 readings (+5.9). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
87
Signal (category) real
95
Profile maturity real
87
Tag breadth real
29
Network position sparse
94
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

model estimate
48%
P(inactive)
Moderate risk
Higher risk than 45% of the universe.

This is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Parler sits in the 87th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #75 of 11,555 in Entertainment. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 48% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It sits on the competitive-alternatives graph with 1 linked rival, so the comparable set below leans on curated edges. Signal momentum is positive (WoW +40.5).

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
Mastodonentertainmentcurated18.60%
High Heels! MODgamingtag-overlap47.93%
Pointientertainmentsimilar22.992%
Pujdo: Jumping Ninja!gamingtag-overlap15.792%
Free Arena Of Valor Gems Hack Generatorgamingtag-overlap30.034%
Air Gravitygamingtag-overlap30.079%
Soulja Boxinggamingtag-overlap15.793%
Fish Divergamingtag-overlap15.793%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelunknown
Liveness tiersunset
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

real

1 disclosed funding round on record, 2 founders resolved. See the full cap table on the product profile →