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VC Intelligence Report

Probably Genetic DNA Test

Health — A physician-ordered at-home DNA test that sequences all 20,000 genes to help diagnose rare genet…
Healthsaas
● Stable
Category standing real
98th pctl · Health
34.0
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#55
Category rank
of 2,915 · real
99th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
68%
Mortality P(dead)
verified label · real

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 20.420.9 across 172 readings (+0.6). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
99
Signal (category) real
98
Profile maturity real
99
Tag breadth real
48
Network position sparse
0
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

verified label
68%
P(inactive)
Elevated risk
Higher risk than 59% of the universe.

This product carries a verified outcome label (“surviving”) — it is one of 600 hand-labeled cases the model is trained and tested on.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Probably Genetic DNA Test sits in the 99th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #55 of 2,915 in Health. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 68% — a verified outcome label. It has no curated competitive-alternative edges yet, so the comparable set below is functional tag-similarity — read it with the confidence flags. Signal momentum is roughly flat.

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
EverlyWellhealthsimilar15.70%
V-Boxhealthsimilar22.98%
The I.V. Dochealthsimilar15.745%
Full Body Packagehealthsimilar30.065%
MyLabBoxhealthsimilar25.75%
Lemonaid Healthhealthsimilar18.629%
Werlabshealthsimilar22.920%
23andMehealthsimilar15.70%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelsaas
Liveness tierquiet
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

not in source

No disclosed funding in our sources. Funding data covers only ~1% of the corpus (462 rounds across 79K products), so absence here is unknown, not zero— we don't estimate a number we can't source.