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VC Intelligence Report

Product Hunt Kitty Tee

Other — Buy a shirt
Othermarketplaceest. 2014
● Stable
Category standing real
0th pctl · Other
8.6
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#1,804
Category rank
of 1,833 · real
0th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
81%
Mortality P(dead)
verified label · real

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 6.19.1 across 39 readings (+3.1). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
0
Signal (category) real
0
Profile maturity real
0
Tag breadth real
48
Network position sparse
0
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

verified label
81%
P(inactive)
High risk
Higher risk than 71% of the universe.

This product carries a verified outcome label (“surviving”) — it is one of 600 hand-labeled cases the model is trained and tested on.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Product Hunt Kitty Tee sits in the 0th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #1,804 of 1,833 in Other. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 81% — a verified outcome label. It has no curated competitive-alternative edges yet, so the comparable set below is functional tag-similarity — read it with the confidence flags. Signal momentum is roughly flat.

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
King Crown Bullion Embroidered Cresthardwaretag-overlap30.079%
Kanye Says: Curation of Timeless Tweetsentertainmenttag-overlap30.074%
Macbook Decalshardwaretag-overlap15.794%
Yo T-Shirtothersimilar15.740%
I AM SATOSHI Shirtothersimilar22.925%
BITLIONAIRE T-SHIRTothersimilar22.929%
HourlyNerd T-Shirtothersimilar15.740%
Life-Size Baby Yoda Replicaentertainmenttag-overlap30.074%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelmarketplace
Liveness tierunknown
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

real

3 disclosed funding rounds on record. See the full cap table on the product profile →