Shark Orgasm

Ecommerce — A digital art NFT created as the artist's first entry into Web3 creative markets

Ecommercemarketplace

▲ Rising

Category standing real

61th pctl · Ecommerce

30.0

Signal score

0–100 composite · real

#710

Category rank

of 5,171 · real

68th

Universe percentile

vs 79,105 modeled · real

47%

Mortality P(dead)

model est. · model est.

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 13.2 → 16.8 across 162 readings (+3.6). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products

Signal (universe) real

Signal (category) real

Profile maturity real

Tag breadth real

Network position sparse

Press footprint sparse

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

model estimate

47%

P(inactive)

Moderate risk

Higher risk than 45% of the universe.

This is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.

LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Shark Orgasm sits in the 68th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #710 of 5,171 in Ecommerce. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 47% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It has no curated competitive-alternative edges yet, so the comparable set below is functional tag-similarity — read it with the confidence flags. Signal momentum is positive (WoW +17.5).

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity

Company	Basis	Signal	P(dead)
Cointemporaryecommerce	similar	15.7	91%
Crypto All-Stars Trading Cardsentertainment	tag-overlap	15.7	34%
Endless Summer Art & Designecommerce	similar	15.7	73%
Dickto Clubother	tag-overlap	30.0	11%
Picfairecommerce	similar	18.6	77%
Tapsnappecommerce	similar	25.7	88%
ArtSocketecommerce	similar	15.7	69%
Sticker Mule Marketplaceecommerce	similar	18.6	77%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes

Business modelmarketplace

Liveness tieractive

Open sourceNo

Public APINo

Free tierNo

Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

real

1 disclosed funding round on record. See the full cap table on the product profile →