LSLaunch SentinelReports
⚡ Early access — every report is free right now.
Home / Reports / Time Map by Mapbox
T
VC Intelligence Report

Time Map by Mapbox

Developer Tools — Rethinking maps based on time to travel — In this time map, we preserve the direction of each po…
Developer Toolsest. 2017
▲ Rising
Category standing real
46th pctl · Developer Tools
22.9
Signal score
0–100 composite · real
#3,535
Category rank
of 7,723 · real
53th
Universe percentile
vs 79,105 modeled · real
18%
Mortality P(dead)
model est. · model est.

Signal trajectory

real

Signal 9.6 → 16.2 across 30 readings (+6.6). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.

Cross-sectional profile

percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled products
Signal (universe) real
53
Signal (category) real
46
Profile maturity real
53
Tag breadth real
64
Network position sparse
0
Press footprint sparse
0

Percentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.

Mortality outlook

model estimate
18%
P(inactive)
Low risk
Higher risk than 26% of the universe.

This is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.

  • LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
  • Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
  • Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
  • Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
  • Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model

n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.

Analyst read

generated from the metrics above · no external narrative

Time Map by Mapbox sits in the 53th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #3,535 of 7,723 in Developer Tools. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 18% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It has no curated competitive-alternative edges yet, so the comparable set below is functional tag-similarity — read it with the confidence flags. Signal momentum is positive (WoW +22.9).

Comparable set

curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity
CompanyBasisSignalP(dead)
Backendlessdev-toolssimilar15.737%
Ryftdev-toolssimilar15.784%
Editlayerdev-toolssimilar25.761%
Calqdev-toolssimilar15.794%
Xkitdev-toolssimilar32.91%
Digitsdev-toolssimilar15.737%
WURFLdev-toolssimilar15.749%
Beaconstacdev-toolssimilar15.72%

Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.

Structure

observed attributes
Business modelunknown
Liveness tierfading
Open sourceNo
Public APINo
Free tierNo
Enterprise tierNo

Funding & team

real

2 disclosed funding rounds on record, 3 founders resolved. See the full cap table on the product profile →