Memrise
Signal trajectory
realSignal 9.6 → 15.9 across 30 readings (+6.2). Composite of press, GitHub velocity, community heat, liveness and funding.
Cross-sectional profile
percentile rank vs 79,105 modeled productsPercentiles computed over the modeled cohort (embedding + signal + tags). Sparse dimensions — network and press — reflect that most products have zero, so a single edge or mention lifts the rank; read those with the coverage flag.
Mortality outlook
model estimateThis is a model estimate, not a verdict. 78,505 of the 79,105 modeled products are unlabeled and scored by the model only.
- LightGBM · binary mortality (dead vs surviving)
- Held-out AUC 0.71 · CV AUC 0.79 ± 0.05 · Brier 0.21
- Trained on 600 verified labels (150 dead / 450 surviving)
- Leakage-guarded: excludes status, discontinued_year, profile_maturity
- Top drivers: tag breadth, signal, vintage, liveness, business model
n=600 is thin → 95% CI on AUC ≈ ±0.10. Treat as a directional signal, not a calibrated probability.
Analyst read
generated from the metrics above · no external narrativeMemrise sits in the 53th percentile of Launch Sentinel's 79,105-product universe by signal, ranked #1,946 of 6,636 in Education. The mortality model puts its probability of going inactive at 1% — a model estimate with a wide confidence band. It sits on the competitive-alternatives graph with 8 linked rivals, so the comparable set below leans on curated edges. Signal momentum is positive (WoW +64.5).
Comparable set
curated alternatives → functional tag-similarity| Company | Basis | Signal | P(dead) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duolingoeducation | curated | 25.7 | 0% |
| Ankieducation | curated | 18.6 | 17% |
| Quazeleducation | similar | 32.9 | 8% |
| Qooorefinance | tag-overlap | 32.9 | 1% |
| Lolo - AI Food Trackerhealth | tag-overlap | 32.9 | 8% |
| Lingvisteducation | similar | 18.6 | 1% |
| Love Actualizedentertainment | tag-overlap | 15.7 | 51% |
| Univerbal (formerly Quazel)education | similar | 32.9 | 2% |
Confidence reflects source and category coherence: curated = an editorially linked alternative; similar = strong functional tag-overlap in the same category; tag-overlap = shared tags only and may be noisy. Signal & P(dead) are real / model.
Structure
observed attributesFunding & team
real3 disclosed funding rounds on record, 2 founders resolved. See the full cap table on the product profile →